Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000149 0.000165 0.000182 0.000201 0.000224 0.000248 0.000276
2025-04-13 0.000111 0.000133 0.000157 0.000188 0.000227 0.000272 0.000331
2025-04-20 0.000094 0.000118 0.000148 0.000188 0.000241 0.000308 0.000402
2025-04-27 0.000084 0.000110 0.000144 0.000192 0.000258 0.000348 0.000482
2025-05-04 0.000075 0.000102 0.000138 0.000191 0.000269 0.000379 0.000553
2025-05-11 0.000068 0.000096 0.000134 0.000193 0.000282 0.000416 0.000636
2025-05-18 0.000062 0.000089 0.000129 0.000191 0.000290 0.000444 0.000710
2025-05-25 0.000057 0.000084 0.000124 0.000190 0.000297 0.000471 0.000785
2025-06-01 0.000052 0.000079 0.000119 0.000187 0.000302 0.000495 0.000857
2025-06-08 0.000047 0.000073 0.000112 0.000181 0.000300 0.000506 0.000908
2025-06-15 0.000045 0.000070 0.000111 0.000183 0.000312 0.000544 0.001013
2025-06-22 0.000043 0.000068 0.000110 0.000187 0.000327 0.000587 0.001136
2025-06-29 0.000039 0.000064 0.000105 0.000181 0.000326 0.000603 0.001209
2025-07-06 0.000035 0.000058 0.000097 0.000172 0.000317 0.000602 0.001248
2025-07-13 0.000033 0.000056 0.000095 0.000172 0.000326 0.000639 0.001379
2025-07-20 0.000032 0.000054 0.000095 0.000175 0.000342 0.000692 0.001555
2025-07-27 0.000030 0.000052 0.000092 0.000175 0.000349 0.000728 0.001696
2025-08-03 0.000028 0.000050 0.000091 0.000176 0.000362 0.000777 0.001881
2025-08-10 0.000027 0.000048 0.000089 0.000175 0.000368 0.000812 0.002035
2025-08-17 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000174 0.000373 0.000845 0.002195
2025-08-24 0.000024 0.000044 0.000084 0.000171 0.000376 0.000874 0.002344
2025-08-31 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000165 0.000370 0.000880 0.002430
2025-09-07 0.000021 0.000041 0.000079 0.000168 0.000383 0.000936 0.002682